Aviation
Data
Contrail-CMI
Contrail Model Intercomparison for Reducing Warming Uncertainty in Africa and South Asia
Compares contrail models to pin down the main sources of uncertainty in predicting contrail formation and climate impact in developing-country…
Project ID: TRiP 5.2
Lead: Durham University
Partners: Imperial College London
Workstream: WS5: Contrails
At a glance
Region Africa, South Asia
Duration November 2026 – March 2027
Uncertainty quantification and model comparison
Multi-model contrail simulation dataset
Guidance on choosing contrail models
How much do contrail model predictions diverge, why, and which modelling choices matter most for regulators?
Research activities
Case-study selection
Flight and weather data
Multi-model simulation
Uncertainty quantification
Planned research outputs
Final report
Policy brief
Model-selection guidance
Multi-model simulation dataset
Relevance & uptake
Advice to aviation authorities · new simulation datasets
Implemented by
Durham University
Meet us at
Conference participation [tbc]